THE RISING TIDE:
SpaceX and the Elon Effect
I'd be remiss not to lead with Friday's historic SpaceX IPO — largely the culmination of one man’s judgment.
The largest public offering not only catapulted founder Elon Musk into trillionaire status, but also created a company with a public market value greater than 92% of the world’s economies — or all but 15.
Still, it’s important to point out that SpaceX’s market cap is not the largest in the world. As of market close Friday, Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon ranked higher.
The difference is that none of these companies had an IPO valuation anywhere close to $1 trillion. It also took each of them decades to reach the same milestone, growing mainly through a single vertical like making chips.
🏁 The Signal: Musk, on the other hand, is offering a proxy for three broad bets: rockets and satellites, AI, and social media. But there’s also a fourth if you count Musk’s singular brand of leadership. Because regardless of your views on Musk, it's hard to dispute the effectiveness of his influence.
That’s the bigger story buried inside trillion-dollar valuations, and arguably this is the most valuable component of the transaction. Without his particular flavor of leading and building, our generation may not have been the one to witness this point in market history.
▶️ The Play: Most of us don’t share and maybe shouldn't try to copy Musk’s personality and worldview. The kind of leadership the rest of us need is quieter and much harder to put a number on: the day-to-day work of moving people through change they didn't ask for, which leads us to Caroline Ingeborn 👇
LEADERS TO WATCH:
Caroline Ingeborn, Luma AI COO
Caroline Ingeborn is the chief operating officer of the $4 billion AI video startup Luma AI. The company has been pushing deeper into Hollywood, creating new types of production services to help studios conceptualize, shoot, and edit films.
Macro Talk sat down with Caroline in San Francisco on the sidelines of the HumanX conference earlier this year.
I focused our conversation on how she's helping legacy industries reimagine work — and on a tougher underlying question: how do you lead people through change they're afraid of?
And since Tinseltown is full of people anxious about what AI means for their craft, bringing skeptics along is, in many ways, the job. (You'll recall that AI was a major cause of the industry's labor strikes in 2023.)
With Tribeca screening its first fully AI-generated film and Cannes Lions advertising festival coming up, this was the perfect week to share Caroline's perspective.
Paid members can read the full transcript in the link in the next sentence.

Caroline Ingeborn at Variety x Adobe Panels during the 2026 Sundance Film Festival. (Photo: Jonathan Hickerson/Variety via Getty Images)
MT: Some observers have noticed that Hollywood is making movies about AI but still publicly bashing it. What’s your read?
CI: There's so many considerations. But if you look at where Hollywood has been, more and more production is moving overseas. We're doing sequel after sequel after sequel after sequel after sequel. It's just a way to minimize risk. [But] most people in Hollywood — that's not why they're there. They don't want to do this either.
On the other side, there's so many great indie ideas — so many things that are not getting green-lit. The thing that you hear from young indie people is, "Oh, if I could just get this much more money, then I could make my idea."
But then I was talking to one of the biggest filmmakers of our time, and he had exactly the same problem: "Listen, I have this like 12-hour thing I want to make, but no one would fund it, because it's so expensive. Do you think AI can help me?"
And so I do think that a lot of Hollywood is actually looking to AI — on the studio side [to answer] can we get out of the sequel echo chamber? And on the filmmaker side, it's about, can I get my idea green-lit? And then I think there's been this question — what do we do with human performance?
So we invested early in Hollywood, and we invested early in what we call Modify, which is video-to-video [to] solve a lot of problems with AI. What that means is if you are Ben Affleck, we can then record you, and then using AI, we can move you into any environment.
Someone said this early on to me, in Hollywood: “Hollywood doesn't bend, it breaks.”
Okay — what does that mean?
I think it's like — they say no, and no, and no, and they try to fight it. For the longest time, they just can't. And then now it's, "Oh, now, now we go." They're not there yet. But we're not too far off.
There's emotional blockage for a lot of people. Managers are struggling to lead people through this transition.
So I see a lot of this, just because, based on what we do, creative professionals are our audience. And I have two takes on this. The first thing is, just — this is coming from a very human perspective of how we handle change.
And so then you need to take a step back and ask yourself — how do humans handle change? And my answer to that is, we all handle change differently.
Some people will be early adopters, some people will have a different route there. And so when I see people trying to affect change inside their own company — I see, "I'm going to measure how much AI you're using." That is threatening people to get across change. I don't know how effective that is, actually.
What I do see people doing, which is useful — is to try to affect change with role modeling. Or — there's a segment in our equivalent to all-hands of, “hey, anyone who's become 10 times more productive — it can be our office manager, it can be me, can be one of our researchers — show and tell." Let's show-and-tell that story, because that is inspirational.
Another big question on the people side is, how do you build teams for the future? You don't have this problem, because your company is just AI-native, right? But for other legacy companies thinking about this — they are struggling to figure out how to build the next organization, especially if AI is changing jobs. Do you have any perspectives on that?
I mean — I wouldn't say we're struggling with this, but we are spending a lot of time thinking about it.
Oh, you are as well?
Yeah. Because I think what is happening — especially if you're trying to hire people that are really good at what they do — what now happens to all of them is that they can come to a meeting where there are experts from each guild.
There is a marketing person, a growth person, an engineer, a PM, and this or that. And someone from a different guild had an idea, worked with agents during the night that touched all of these areas of expertise, and comes in and it's like, "Hey, I thought we should do this for growth."
It's so easy to then feel like, "Yeah, but I'm growth. Like, what are you trying to do —"
"Do my job."
Correct. So I think that what becomes then even more important is to have shared goals: "Oh, this just means that you care about my area, and that I can actually now — even though I'm the growth person, I can talk to you, an engineer, and we can solve this." And so I think that mindset shift is very important.
Because then people's egos get hurt.
Yeah. And I mean, I get this too. My job is very fluid — like, for lack of a better word — but even I get this.
You catch yourself.
Yeah. It's partly an experience thing. It's partly an ego thing of like, "Wait, you have no idea how to do this, and now you've written this full thing on how to do this — and half of it is written by agents." But to be able to say, "Okay — that's the ego hat, we're gonna put it over here. We're gonna put on the curiosity hat," and think "Maybe there's gold in here." This is something that you will need to practice.
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NEWS TO KNOW:
The Week’s Biggest Stories
↗ Inflation accelerated to its fastest pace last month since April 2023, with prices rising 4.2% from a year ago.
↘ Global growth this year could slump to its weakest pace outside of outright recession in close to 20 years, according to a World Bank report published Thursday.
▶ OpenAI confidentially filed for its highly anticipated IPO and is reportedly also planning to facilitate a tender offer for employees to sell shares at its latest $852 billion post-money valuation.
⏸ Jeff Bezos expects AI to create a “labor shortage,” he told the WSJ in an interview that also touched on his new $41 billion AI company called Prometheus.
MACRO TALK IRL:
Newsletter Writing and the Knicks’ First NBA Title in 53 Years

This was my view of the NBA finals during commercial breaks on Saturday night. We all juggle priorities, right?
I've never really been a sports fan, but when history is on the line, I tune in.
And as I watched the final game, I realized how many things had to fall perfectly into place for the Knicks to win: the health of the players, the timing of plays, communication across the team, and so many more factors that die-hard fans could list.
Knowing that some people had waited perhaps the better part of their lives for this moment when everything finally aligned made me happier than the win itself.

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